Tyler Cowen on who are the best Ukraine predictors?:
1. Have visited Ukraine and Russia, as many times as possible.
2. Have Ukrainian and Russian friends.
3. Well-read in Russian literature, and a sense of how imperialistic so many of the Russian intellectuals and writers have been.
4. Some understanding of how the KGB perspective in Russia differs from the views of the military, all as it might reflect upon Putin and his decisions.
5. Well-read in the general history of war, in addition to the history of the region.
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